Who will win – Ross Greenburg or Al Haymon?

Despite the picture being unclear because the particular insiders involved are not speaking to the media, I am able to somewhat surmise that HBO and Ross Greenburg have honestly tried to make a fair deal with Al Haymon to produce Pacquiao vs. Mayweather for November 13. However the problem seems to be that Haymon and Floyd are 1,000% dead-set against the fight and would rather milk or suck dry Greenburg and HBO for multi-millions for a tune-up/stay busy sparring session later this year or in early 2011.

If you are Ross Greenburg, you have to be highly annoyed with Haymon and Mayweather for ducking the fight. Because a lot of money is going down the drain, due to the fact that Mayweather and Haymon fear the suffering of a devastating, brutal knockout loss. Haymon’s ego apparently can’t handle more beatings or KO losses, which he had to recently endure with his fighters Jermain Taylor, Chris Arreola, Librado Andrade and Travis Kauffman.

Mayweather’s ego can’t even deal with simple questions about Pacquiao (did you see his appearance on ESPN’s Pardon the Interruption before the Mosley fight? He refused to answer any Pacquiao-related questions), let alone those blinding punch combinations which would almost certainly put him out for the ten count.

But if you look at the big picture, it looks like Greenburg could possibly be applying heavy pressure on Haymon and Mayweather. Haymon’s other prized fighters are struggling to get HBO dates. Andre Berto has nothing concrete lined for the fall. Chris Arreola will not be on HBO in his next fight. And Paul Williams is also waiting to get another HBO date since his December win against Sergio Martinez. HBO is reported to be pressuring Haymon and Williams to accept a rematch with Martinez at 50-50% but Haymon is not cooperating. Haymon does not want that fight.

If you think about it logically, there may be a rift developing between HBO/Greenburg and Haymon, which I would suspect could be a direct consequence of Haymon & Mayweather’s total refusal to fight Pacquiao.

In boxing, there are many instances where the big players will not talk and all we can do is read between the lines and use logic to try to figure out what is really happening.

Pacquiao vs. Mayweather would be a battle of wills and so too would be any complicated deal worked out by Greenburg and Haymon to make it reality (Bob Arum, as we all know, is already in accord). Pacquiao vs. Mayweather may not be dead after all, if the deal-making skills of Ross Greenburg can find a way to overcome the rock-solid, turtle defenses of Al Haymon.

There always is a way to turn a negative into a positive. Greenburg can find a way to force Haymon to force his man Mayweather to sign the dotted line – and the best method to achieve that goal may be to take away all of Haymon and Mayweather’s other options.

The favorite in this clash of wills has to be Greenburg who in the long run, doesn’t really need Haymon’s fighters. But Haymon does need HBO & Greenburg a lot more than Greenburg needs them.

If Mr Haymon is reading BoxingInsider.com and would like to state his case, feel free to contact the author at [email protected]

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